Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.067106 0.072095 0.077294 0.083122 0.089482 0.096218 0.103903
2025-12-07 0.056354 0.063454 0.071276 0.080564 0.091330 0.103460 0.118227
2025-12-14 0.048153 0.056227 0.065520 0.077069 0.091125 0.107789 0.129206
2025-12-21 0.043075 0.051828 0.062272 0.075760 0.092874 0.114075 0.142655
2025-12-28 0.040185 0.049636 0.061275 0.076830 0.097320 0.123743 0.160975
2026-01-04 0.037669 0.047596 0.060164 0.077472 0.101046 0.132562 0.178798
2026-01-11 0.035052 0.045162 0.058270 0.076800 0.102788 0.138664 0.193239
2026-01-18 0.032952 0.043215 0.056816 0.076510 0.104893 0.145269 0.208836
2026-01-25 0.030768 0.040983 0.054781 0.075190 0.105327 0.149372 0.220915
2026-02-01 0.028577 0.038587 0.052338 0.073067 0.104346 0.151187 0.229463
2026-02-08 0.026716 0.036534 0.050236 0.071260 0.103640 0.153264 0.238478
2026-02-15 0.025163 0.034825 0.048512 0.069870 0.103417 0.155988 0.248686
2026-02-22 0.024271 0.034048 0.048133 0.070541 0.106536 0.164417 0.269677
2026-03-01 0.022753 0.032274 0.046182 0.068661 0.105451 0.165898 0.278725
2026-03-08 0.021121 0.030248 0.043740 0.065851 0.102636 0.164234 0.281898
2026-03-15 0.020055 0.029022 0.042452 0.064797 0.102644 0.167364 0.294218
2026-03-22 0.019536 0.028601 0.042379 0.065696 0.106003 0.176597 0.319127
2026-03-29 0.018971 0.028077 0.042107 0.066234 0.108751 0.184934 0.343186
2026-04-05 0.018207 0.027201 0.041224 0.065678 0.109505 0.189629 0.360341
2026-04-12 0.017562 0.026482 0.040554 0.065438 0.110794 0.195407 0.380373
2026-04-19 0.016787 0.025518 0.039434 0.064342 0.110419 0.197928 0.393644
2026-04-26 0.015931 0.024386 0.037982 0.062578 0.108669 0.197588 0.400521
2026-05-03 0.015177 0.023391 0.036717 0.061075 0.107311 0.197914 0.408915